Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x415521815d8a7b1684d60e0f63b27b7de8902fccf5d5a1d9b86ee123ca20426c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Panthersof Stanford Cardinal, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,339 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 1,873$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.05 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 1,114$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.02 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…dc5fbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 991.26$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 975.7$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.61 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b6…b308backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 941.7$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 655.37$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 47c | 637.44$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…d133backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 594.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 213.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 140.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 84.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 47c | 84.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal | 50c | 83.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 60.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 36.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Stanford Cardinal | 50c | 34.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 34.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 34.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 33.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 26.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 24.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-5.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford CardinalPittsburgh Panthers won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 136.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 137.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-4.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.