NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff4fffc369c58356b4d42d003a0b414d8db93910eb40dfda3e1346196a3b78f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,571 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 39c | 516.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.08 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 39c | 499.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…07b0backed Under | 39c | 456$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 39c | 401.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.19 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…4ff4backed Under | 39c | 379$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…a7f6backed Under | 39c | 365$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 61c | 330.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.7 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under | 41c | 290.24$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 280.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ab…7e06backed Over | 61c | 277$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc21…62eebacked Over | 61c | 257$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 248$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd173…abfbbacked Over | 61c | 242$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…cda5backed Under | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 39c | 216.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…e1c0backed Over | 61c | 216$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…0b15backed Over | 61c | 216$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…bf85backed Over | 61c | 208$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 61c | 167.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…abb8backed Over | 61c | 167$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…f204backed Under | 39c | 152$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 36c | 122.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 69c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Under | 70c | 66.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351c…9dffbacked Over | 31c | 65.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 61c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 61c | 52.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 46.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 42c | 45.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…a255backed Over | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 33c | 33.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…f7f0backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Over | 61c | 32.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Over | 61c | 32.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…d795backed Over | 61c | 32.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 61c | 32.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Over | 64c | 22.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. DucksBlues won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.