CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4938ecfb6f78f2d493cff5bb2c1fd2b6c1e49762635b73fc4e07721bb5da9300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd708…0c51backed Alliance | 67c | 25,350$16,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,365.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…9073backed Alliance | 67c | 15,880$10,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…ce1ebacked Alliance | 67c | 14,900$9,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed Metizport | 34c | 8,850$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.54 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 69c | 2,521$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.92 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Alliance | 65c | 2,297$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.2 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Metizport | 10c | 1,617$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Metizport | 32c | 1,249$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.68 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd665…ecc8backed Metizport | 8c | 1,234$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Metizport | 31c | 999.96$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…96eabacked Metizport | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Metizport | 32c | 781.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…c02bbacked Metizport | 5c | 657.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Metizport | 30c | 600.48$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Metizport | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 68c | 589.6$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Alliance | 68c | 588.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Alliance | 68c | 586.52$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Metizport | 28c | 569.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Metizport | 9c | 476.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Alliance | 68c | 410.82$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Metizport | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Alliance | 71c | 281.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Alliance | 66c | 261.79$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Metizport | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Alliance | 68c | 248$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Alliance | 69c | 233.93$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…51b1backed Alliance | 69c | 230$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Metizport | 34c | 210.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Metizport | 15c | 207.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Metizport | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Alliance | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Metizport | 33c | 182.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Alliance | 66c | 175$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Alliance | 65c | 165.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Alliance | 65c | 146.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Alliance | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Metizport | 21c | 119.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Alliance | 77c | 118.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Metizport | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Alliance | 68c | 103.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Metizport | 34c | 101.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Alliance | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Metizport | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Metizport | 30c | 99.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alliance | 73c | 89.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Metizport | 33c | 89.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…2ebdbacked Alliance | 65c | 85.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Alliance | 65c | 83.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Alliance | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Metizport | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Metizport | 24c | 60.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…8a4bbacked Alliance | 69c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Alliance | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 78c | 45.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Alliance | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Alliance | 66c | 43.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Alliance | 69c | 35.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed Alliance | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Alliance | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Alliance | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Alliance | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Metizport - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.