TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Duke Blue Devilsof Florida State Seminoles, Duke Blue Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,735 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles32c40,400$13,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,006.565,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Duke Blue Devils80c13,514$10,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.096752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Duke Blue Devils64c11,740$7,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,261.731837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Florida State Seminoles23c10,808$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.553435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Florida State Seminoles6c8,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9922645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Duke Blue Devils65c5,630$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.051,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Duke Blue Devils55c5,503$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.0431646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Florida State Seminoles29c5,333$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.1226945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida State Seminoles33c4,115$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.584,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Florida State Seminoles30c3,575$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.4312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Duke Blue Devils65c3,009$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.5274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Duke Blue Devils62c2,825$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.083,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Duke Blue Devils75c2,484$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.33,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Florida State Seminoles12c2,011$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1725829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida State Seminoles30c1,901$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.514,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Duke Blue Devils58c1,842$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Duke Blue Devils70c1,747$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.318548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Duke Blue Devils78c1,712$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.855,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florida State Seminoles34c1,439$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Florida State Seminoles6c1,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Duke Blue Devils74c1,192$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.031421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Florida State Seminoles7c1,107$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Duke Blue Devils56c950.38$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.9910553.3%56 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Duke Blue Devils56c907.71$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.759554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Florida State Seminoles20c878.86$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.554643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Duke Blue Devils54c829.52$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.97553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27bf…fa14backed Florida State Seminoles8c775.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.842615.4%4 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+142.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Florida State Seminoles28c761.83$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4435338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Florida State Seminoles1c750$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Duke Blue Devils55c715.08$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.565152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Florida State Seminoles2c699.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Florida State Seminoles30c672.03$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.543318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florida State Seminoles21c635.79$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.031,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Florida State Seminoles14c633.86$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9449345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Duke Blue Devils50c632.42$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.2122157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida State Seminoles5c598.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.922,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Florida State Seminoles5c553.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.773638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Florida State Seminoles48c467.97$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.652951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…e3e3backed Florida State Seminoles7c423.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.623435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Florida State Seminoles6c399.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Duke Blue Devils72c373.75$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.657143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Florida State Seminoles44c339.39$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7310638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Florida State Seminoles50c303.32$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…7454backed Florida State Seminoles6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Florida State Seminoles35c283.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.253635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Florida State Seminoles7c282.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3142934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0126…e11abacked Florida State Seminoles16c279.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Florida State Seminoles13c279.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.135326.4%14 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Florida State Seminoles18c278.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.747655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Florida State Seminoles49c277.92$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.412,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Duke Blue Devils53c270$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9714450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Florida State Seminoles7c231.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4235646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Florida State Seminoles24c221.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Florida State Seminoles7c213.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.216347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…37d5backed Florida State Seminoles7c213.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.974228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Florida State Seminoles13c209.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1916436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Florida State Seminoles6c200.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0138837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Duke Blue Devils50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Florida State Seminoles12c199.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.917140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Duke Blue Devils51c194.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8223544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6594…b134backed Duke Blue Devils51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+82.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Florida State Seminoles9c190.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9510034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Florida State Seminoles23c181.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Florida State Seminoles49c141.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.156630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Duke Blue Devils70c140.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Florida State Seminoles15c128.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.919151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Florida State Seminoles33c115.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.651,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Duke Blue Devils77c102.42$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6219057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Florida State Seminoles34c101.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Duke Blue Devils62c100.31$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.893534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6212…4eb3backed Florida State Seminoles10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106936.2%25 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Duke Blue Devils71c99.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Florida State Seminoles19c97.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.163336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Duke Blue Devils51c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.623231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Florida State Seminoles16c89.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.313,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Florida State Seminoles33c89.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.974231%13 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Duke Blue Devils57c88.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7111552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Duke Blue Devils71c88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.523138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Florida State Seminoles27c84.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Duke Blue Devils78c80.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5157655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Florida State Seminoles45c67.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8469350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Florida State Seminoles42c67.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Duke Blue Devils79c66.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.062,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Duke Blue Devils59c65.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.789134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc60d…4054backed Florida State Seminoles32c62.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Duke Blue Devils51c59.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.142365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Florida State Seminoles35c56.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8415238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Florida State Seminoles31c54.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa283…18dcbacked Florida State Seminoles22c54.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.931833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Duke Blue Devils80c49.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…642cbacked Florida State Seminoles49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Duke Blue Devils55c39.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.889037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked Duke Blue Devils79c38.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.139153.8%49 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed Duke Blue Devils68c36.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6811654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Duke Blue Devils53c36.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.07977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Duke Blue Devils58c33.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.097565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Florida State Seminoles40c32.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.015343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Florida State Seminoles44c29.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9266831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Duke Blue Devils73c29.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.922642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Duke Blue Devils54c27.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.724957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.