Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34992f442467616bf38577b8d32e20858a669ce6c43e9be01ca9531e109ccec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pretoria Capitalsof Paarl Royals, Pretoria Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Paarl Royals | 70c | 5,353$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Pretoria Capitals | 52c | 4,317$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.46 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pretoria Capitals | 32c | 3,456$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.23 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Pretoria Capitals | 39c | 2,047$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Pretoria Capitals | 36c | 1,411$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.6 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paarl Royals | 50c | 1,276$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.6 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Pretoria Capitals | 34c | 1,073$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.99 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pretoria Capitals | 52c | 1,047$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.85 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Pretoria Capitals | 36c | 1,043$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.46 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b7…00a0backed Pretoria Capitals | 70c | 1,030$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Paarl Royals | 58c | 820$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.3 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Pretoria Capitals | 64c | 665$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Paarl Royals | 30c | 596.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.66 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Pretoria Capitals | 40c | 490$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…b3dcbacked Pretoria Capitals | 23c | 477.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Paarl Royals | 38c | 456.44$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.56 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Paarl Royals | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Paarl Royals | 67c | 383.3$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.05 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 53c | 352.38$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed Pretoria Capitals | 34c | 234.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Paarl Royals | 58c | 226.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Pretoria Capitals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Pretoria Capitals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Pretoria Capitals | 13c | 159.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Paarl Royals | 59c | 155.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed Paarl Royals | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Pretoria Capitals | 37c | 116$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2634…3a4abacked Paarl Royals | 36c | 115.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Paarl Royals | 47c | 103.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked Paarl Royals | 56c | 101$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Paarl Royals | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Pretoria Capitals | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Pretoria Capitals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Paarl Royals | 25c | 82.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed Pretoria Capitals | 34c | 67.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Paarl Royals | 62c | 63.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…2fe4backed Paarl Royals | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d0…7c58backed Pretoria Capitals | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paarl Royals | 52c | 46.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…6680backed Paarl Royals | 72c | 42.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed Paarl Royals | 58c | 35.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…6c62backed Paarl Royals | 54c | 34.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…1d6ebacked Paarl Royals | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked Pretoria Capitals | 65c | 29.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pretoria Capitals | 51c | 28.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Paarl Royals | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Pretoria Capitals | 48c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Pretoria Capitals | 48c | 21.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Paarl Royals | 49c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed Paarl Royals | 53c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Pretoria Capitals | 80c | 17.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Paarl Royals | 70c | 16.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…9442backed Paarl Royals | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e1…5f98backed Paarl Royals | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.