Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2901a8889efcd882b84452c1c6699645e5cd89002b88011aa82f3ef57f6b3dc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vacherotof Fils, Vacherot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,655 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vacherot | 50c | 629.36$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Fils | 51c | 591.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Vacherot | 66c | 411.46$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Fils | 50c | 402.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Vacherot | 57c | 325.2$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Vacherot | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Vacherot | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Vacherot | 39c | 232.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Fils | 45c | 222.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Fils | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Fils | 49c | 210.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Fils | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…2957backed Fils | 61c | 199.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Fils | 49c | 197.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Vacherot | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Fils | 36c | 172.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Fils | 37c | 161.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Vacherot | 43c | 153.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fils | 51c | 145.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b7…00a0backed Vacherot | 31c | 140$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vacherot | 53c | 107.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vacherot | 51c | 87.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Vacherot | 56c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Fils | 44c | 73.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fils | 50c | 72.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Vacherot | 37c | 64.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Vacherot | 63c | 63.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…e5a1backed Vacherot | 61c | 61.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fils | 39c | 61.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Fils | 75c | 57.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Vacherot | 51c | 54.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Vacherot | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Fils | 48c | 50.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Fils | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Vacherot | 33c | 34.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Fils | 39c | 31.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Vacherot | 39c | 30.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Vacherot | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -26.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…9633backed Vacherot | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb643…0684backed Vacherot | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9c…eb8dbacked Vacherot | 56c | 24.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Fils | 72c | 18.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)this page
- Miami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils won
- Set 1 Winner: Vacherot vs FilsFils won
- Vacherot vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Valentin Vacherot vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.