Movies · resolved market
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ed37f4b3cde2b51d268c136c3a0f274140f75e2bab1816a0a94fed8a99f2145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75d4…4027backed Yes | 75c | 7,353$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.73 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 24c | 1,071$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 22c | 816.89$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.19 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 28c | 607.14$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…750dbacked Yes | 68c | 464.56$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 62c | 348.91$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed No | 38c | 324$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 28c | 311$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…ce7fbacked Yes | 59c | 278.37$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 79c | 268.37$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 72c | 265.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 260.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75fb…8ce7backed Yes | 71c | 240.61$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed Yes | 60c | 229$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked No | 40c | 229$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 213.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 35c | 178.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 8c | 170.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…f566backed Yes | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 73c | 148$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9553backed No | 27c | 148$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 61c | 134.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 129.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…797abacked No | 45c | 121.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 63c | 120.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…59afbacked No | 24c | 109.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 36c | 97.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 90.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…c9debacked Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…175bbacked Yes | 64c | 78.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…79c5backed Yes | 68c | 73.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad8…4998backed No | 42c | 68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 42c | 60.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…852fbacked Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…7557backed No | 25c | 55.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 50.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…0b8dbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee93…62d9backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…e898backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…b538backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 25c | 42.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c88…ad6dbacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…6c6cbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…1226backed Yes | 64c | 35.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 71c | 33.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…cf43backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…7030backed Yes | 77c | 26.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 76c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…e036backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…649abacked Yes | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 77c | 15.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?this page
- Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.