CS2 · resolved market
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe71ad2aeb149bb6b73d2e9d04f7c574dc4b17d0bd8d9f32d6f8a9da2fe6959e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 2c | 2,547$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 397.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 280.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…35c6backed No | 75c | 266.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 14c | 230.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…f0c8backed No | 24c | 167.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked No | 49c | 139.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 36c | 132.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 10c | 130.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 19c | 81.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 70.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…1817backed Yes | 22c | 53.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 20c | 51.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 30c | 47.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…0e70backed No | 77c | 24.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.