NFL · resolved market

Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9234b5ce71e321051a7d0ecc305a02993db80a9683012b15490208309be74765

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $147,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $94,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,885 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7134…8febbacked Yes	1c	14,484$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.44	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	2c	14,274$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.4	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	0c	12,215$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.08	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	7,367$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.61	61	1.6%1 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-95.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	1c	5,108$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.86	224	34.4%77 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	4,741$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.42	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes	4c	4,453$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.59	186	29.6%55 W · 131 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	3c	4,251$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.61	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	7c	4,250$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.59	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes	3c	2,848$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8646…ed78backed Yes	1c	2,502$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	2c	2,231$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	118	37.3%44 W · 74 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes	1c	2,121$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	2c	1,877$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.71	144	4.9%7 W · 137 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	1,324$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.77	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	1c	1,284$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	11c	1,030$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.17	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Yes	24c	964.23$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.54	66	25.8%17 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes	1c	900.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcff…a5d5backed Yes	2c	689.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	119	33.6%40 W · 79 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	2c	630.68$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	2c	579.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaae6…522dbacked Yes	4c	563.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…98ffbacked Yes	8c	555.08$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	4c	448.43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.24	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-4.9wins	-0.35per pick	42cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes	13c	413.72$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.92	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	-7.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes	4c	409.84$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	3c	391.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	79	10.1%8 W · 71 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	8c	334.15$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.7	294	39.5%116 W · 178 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes	5c	330.38$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	278	35.3%98 W · 180 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	4c	308.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes	5c	305.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f3…c262backed Yes	8c	244.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes	11c	231.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed Yes	5c	204.43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	103	46.6%48 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9292…2cd1backed Yes	32c	188.54$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0026…1ed5backed Yes	56c	180.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x252e…c54bbacked Yes	58c	173.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa518…41e3backed No	75c	101$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.25	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	70cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes	25c	101$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.15per pick	26cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes	12c	86.96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	104	34.6%36 W · 68 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Yes	20c	71.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd413…c7d6backed Yes	17c	61.11$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb03…58dcbacked Yes	32c	47.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked No	30c	43.05$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.13	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdb…ca53backed Yes	28c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event