TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb03…58dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1580%12 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
USC vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Arkansas vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Kentucky vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.1%+$4.97
TCU vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$14.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.