College Football · resolved market
Arkansas vs. Texas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56aa7c9cd3adea70592c3491ac5b150de01564504caf54fa311538e22eda9054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Arkansas, Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texas | 76c | 23,852$18,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,797.9 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Arkansas | 26c | 19,232$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Arkansas | 22c | 17,056$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas | 74c | 15,061$11,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.73 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Arkansas | 14c | 14,201$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.32 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas | 78c | 11,805$9,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.9 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Arkansas | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Arkansas | 24c | 9,375$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.68 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas | 75c | 8,230$6,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.12 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Arkansas | 25c | 7,006$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arkansas | 15c | 5,975$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.55 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Arkansas | 23c | 5,529$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.68 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas | 21c | 5,399$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.99 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Arkansas | 20c | 5,137$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.14 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…5393backed Texas | 75c | 5,050$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Arkansas | 24c | 4,608$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.81 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arkansas | 7c | 4,513$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Arkansas | 25c | 4,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Texas | 76c | 4,300$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Arkansas | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Texas | 78c | 3,776$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas | 10c | 3,603$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.8 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…dfafbacked Arkansas | 21c | 3,000$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.92 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arkansas | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Arkansas | 24c | 2,750$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Texas | 77c | 1,951$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Arkansas | 25c | 1,800$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.96 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Arkansas | 12c | 1,733$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Arkansas | 20c | 1,642$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ba…7185backed Arkansas | 26c | 1,513$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Arkansas | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Arkansas | 24c | 1,400$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Texas | 76c | 1,350$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Texas | 75c | 1,337$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.34 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Arkansas | 25c | 1,200$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Arkansas | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arkansas | 10c | 1,197$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas | 76c | 1,170$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.5 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Arkansas | 19c | 1,158$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Texas | 78c | 1,084$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.53 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Arkansas | 24c | 1,044$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Texas | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Arkansas | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Texas | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Arkansas | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Arkansas | 24c | 988.45$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.23 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Arkansas | 23c | 856.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Texas | 76c | 802.56$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Arkansas | 24c | 699.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Texas | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked Texas | 78c | 656.72$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed Arkansas | 18c | 648.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Texas | 74c | 626.85$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Arkansas | 24c | 615$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Arkansas | 21c | 605.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Arkansas | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Texas | 74c | 599.33$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Arkansas | 25c | 555$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Texas | 75c | 554$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Texas | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Arkansas | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Texas | 77c | 433.77$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed Texas | 76c | 432.62$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…b74abacked Arkansas | 24c | 406.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Arkansas | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Arkansas | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…b6f1backed Arkansas | 25c | 399.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas | 75c | 396$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Texas | 76c | 393.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd4…b297backed Arkansas | 25c | 329.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…73acbacked Texas | 76c | 329.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Texas | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…1054backed Texas | 76c | 321.11$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Arkansas | 16c | 305.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Texas | 76c | 302.63$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…aa3bbacked Texas | 76c | 276.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas | 76c | 271$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae9…3be1backed Texas | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Texas | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked Texas | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Arkansas | 24c | 249.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Arkansas | 24c | 246.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Texas | 75c | 235.64$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Arkansas | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Arkansas | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed Texas | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…e696backed Arkansas | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Arkansas | 21c | 199.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Arkansas | 24c | 199.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Arkansas | 19c | 180.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas | 22c | 160.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Arkansas | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Arkansas | 19c | 153.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Arkansas | 22c | 149.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Arkansas | 18c | 138.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…19ddbacked Texas | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…622ebacked Texas | 76c | 132.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Texas | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…eafdbacked Texas | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…f50cbacked Arkansas | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas vs. Texasthis page
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: Texas (-10.5)Texas won
- Spread: Texas (-8.5)Texas won
- Spread: Texas (-9.5)Texas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.