College Football · resolved market
BYU vs. Cincinnati
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a22dd9d4f7798efe7ebec94934a35e8531bf20090b8361cd8016c210d71184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYUof BYU, Cincinnati
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed BYU | 58c | 43,491$25,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,285.45 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati | 36c | 37,679$13,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,398.75 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Cincinnati | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.99 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cincinnati | 18c | 27,949$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.16 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cincinnati | 41c | 26,793$10,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,996.02 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked BYU | 59c | 24,577$14,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,093.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cincinnati | 38c | 22,407$8,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,535.74 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Cincinnati | 34c | 19,130$6,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,457.16 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…bc27backed BYU | 59c | 18,376$10,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,534.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Cincinnati | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed BYU | 71c | 14,082$9,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.52 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed BYU | 58c | 7,847$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.74 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked BYU | 72c | 7,792$5,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.02 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked BYU | 57c | 7,272$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.96 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BYU | 78c | 6,952$5,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.27 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked BYU | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati | 42c | 5,750$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.47 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed BYU | 59c | 5,517$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…bde4backed BYU | 58c | 5,357$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.52 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 57cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked BYU | 57c | 5,122$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.39 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed BYU | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Cincinnati | 32c | 4,943$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.76 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed BYU | 78c | 4,495$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.39 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati | 8c | 3,922$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.78 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed BYU | 58c | 3,774$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.08 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati | 12c | 3,190$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed BYU | 65c | 3,063$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cincinnati | 43c | 2,793$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.02 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed BYU | 69c | 2,575$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.69 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati | 42c | 2,310$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.75 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cincinnati | 41c | 2,233$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.52 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cincinnati | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Cincinnati | 13c | 2,015$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.95 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed BYU | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cincinnati | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked BYU | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed BYU | 75c | 1,820$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.6 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Cincinnati | 43c | 1,800$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.38 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed BYU | 70c | 1,649$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.46 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati | 41c | 1,435$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.67 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed BYU | 59c | 1,273$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.14 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed Cincinnati | 15c | 1,228$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cincinnati | 42c | 1,190$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.92 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Cincinnati | 41c | 1,002$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.74 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cincinnati | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…343cbacked BYU | 59c | 930.51$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Cincinnati | 41c | 913$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed BYU | 65c | 877.18$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.64 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed BYU | 73c | 863.31$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.97 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cincinnati | 43c | 855.7$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.95 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed BYU | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked BYU | 60c | 838.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea13…7bc1backed BYU | 56c | 692.71$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c8…f2efbacked BYU | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cincinnati | 40c | 615$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed BYU | 58c | 572.4$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.92 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cincinnati | 24c | 536.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cincinnati | 43c | 535$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cincinnati | 20c | 529.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed BYU | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cincinnati | 2c | 493.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed BYU | 57c | 477$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked BYU | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Cincinnati | 42c | 473.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Cincinnati | 8c | 448.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed BYU | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BYU | 78c | 423$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked BYU | 58c | 403.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed BYU | 58c | 402.73$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Cincinnati | 35c | 359$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cincinnati | 10c | 333.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked BYU | 63c | 318.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Cincinnati | 42c | 317.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed BYU | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Cincinnati | 43c | 255.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…e59abacked BYU | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Cincinnati | 5c | 235.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Cincinnati | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Cincinnati | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked BYU | 58c | 212.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed BYU | 59c | 206.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…d977backed Cincinnati | 25c | 203.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked BYU | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed BYU | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed BYU | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed BYU | 58c | 184$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…0f60backed BYU | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed BYU | 57c | 176.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed BYU | 69c | 173.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked BYU | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed BYU | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Cincinnati | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BYU | 61c | 164.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…b74abacked BYU | 64c | 156.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cincinnati | 16c | 149.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Cincinnati | 35c | 146$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed BYU | 58c | 132.18$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Cincinnati | 42c | 130.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked BYU | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BYU vs. Cincinnatithis page
- BYU vs. Cincinnati: O/U 56.5Under won
- O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: BYU (-2.5)BYU won
- Spread: BYU (-3.5)BYU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.