TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vanderbiltof Kentucky, Vanderbilt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Vanderbilt76c32,925$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,925.2319362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Vanderbilt76c18,866$14,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,527.8112746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kentucky24c18,577$4,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,458.5516234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kentucky20c11,534$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.6258850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kentucky19c9,875$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.3686243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kentucky25c8,772$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.0281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky24c7,043$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.422,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Vanderbilt75c6,736$5,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Kentucky18c5,010$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.917443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Kentucky24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-62.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kentucky25c4,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12538546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kentucky18c4,142$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.2326244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kentucky25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Kentucky25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9811540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kentucky26c3,344$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.7552641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e6…1dc2backed Vanderbilt75c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.331553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Vanderbilt75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Kentucky24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9924348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Kentucky24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Kentucky25c2,247$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.758236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Kentucky25c1,800$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4534529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Vanderbilt75c1,585$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.1749443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Kentucky26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Kentucky28c1,223$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.468331.3%26 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Kentucky23c1,044$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1613417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Kentucky24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Kentucky26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Kentucky25c943.78$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9528440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky26c931$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0640244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt76c930.01$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7450358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kentucky24c867.06$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0910742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kentucky24c770$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.957830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Kentucky26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013444%59 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e15…53fabacked Kentucky26c678.85$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Kentucky18c653$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b5…b3cabacked Vanderbilt77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.353680.6%29 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kentucky24c622.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.681,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5441…da3bbacked Vanderbilt73c615.67$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.232661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8470…74bdbacked Kentucky26c576.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.921030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Kentucky24c555$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.26949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Vanderbilt74c472.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.973360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Vanderbilt75c463.01$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.753650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Kentucky24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.856844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Vanderbilt75c414$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.57660.5%46 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4964…a330backed Vanderbilt75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Kentucky26c388.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Kentucky6c382.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kentucky26c379$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.549124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kentucky26c349.69$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vanderbilt79c334$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Kentucky27c265.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6365945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Kentucky24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb79e…47ebbacked Vanderbilt76c242.01$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Vanderbilt75c235.65$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.916262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…b511backed Kentucky26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Vanderbilt73c199.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dfe…9ff6backed Vanderbilt77c181.82$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.821080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc97b…7f7fbacked Vanderbilt75c158.13$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.531560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82e…bd89backed Vanderbilt74c154.36$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.131050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9083…622ebacked Vanderbilt73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Vanderbilt75c127$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7513149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Vanderbilt79c127$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672692.3%24 W · 2 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick73cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Kentucky21c124.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2112718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9492…1f25backed Vanderbilt75c119.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.932240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Vanderbilt75c106.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6718868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Kentucky27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2747331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a39…99bfbacked Vanderbilt73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Kentucky24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9224436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Vanderbilt75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Vanderbilt74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Vanderbilt73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4914055%77 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3b…11f6backed Vanderbilt75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a73…9daabacked Vanderbilt76c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.844660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed Kentucky24c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4217…8bf7backed Vanderbilt79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Vanderbilt75c59.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Vanderbilt77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.954872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Vanderbilt73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.524157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88e2…1956backed Kentucky24c42.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2110030%30 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Vanderbilt75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106764.2%43 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ad…dca6backed Vanderbilt77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x072c…40e4backed Vanderbilt76c33.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…bf2dbacked Vanderbilt75c30.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Vanderbilt77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.97441.9%31 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Vanderbilt74c29.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9db…9f28backed Vanderbilt75c27.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7b…a930backed Vanderbilt73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+87.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3c…ef61backed Vanderbilt73c26.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1940…bfb1backed Vanderbilt75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Vanderbilt75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Vanderbilt75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb91…f766backed Vanderbilt75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x439f…bdedbacked Vanderbilt75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa741…bd1fbacked Vanderbilt76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9370…433abacked Vanderbilt76c26.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed Vanderbilt77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…99debacked Vanderbilt79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5364…8c41backed Vanderbilt73c23.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aaf…d771backed Vanderbilt75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad0e…fd92backed Vanderbilt75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick77cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.