College Football · resolved market
Will Kalen DeBoer be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd875a8f9c1b14c774dd17347314ba4e3735deb970dabbe4e97c272eb0c0305ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 68c | 4,203$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.05 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,794$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…8f3dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,986$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 37c | 1,361$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,242$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065a…87e5backed Yes | 16c | 1,172$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 871.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Yes | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…b6b1backed Yes | 23c | 664.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Yes | 21c | 608.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 599$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 507$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…a330backed No | 80c | 500.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked Yes | 10c | 486.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 9c | 401.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 6c | 308.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…0836backed Yes | 13c | 289.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 5c | 235.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…28e0backed Yes | 12c | 226.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 13c | 215$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 6c | 193.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Yes | 29c | 172.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 7c | 161.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 161.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 9c | 150.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 131$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a0…2fdcbacked Yes | 34c | 101.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…d83abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…c06fbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kalen DeBoer be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?this page
- Will Biff Poggi be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Brian Kelly be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Jedd Fisch be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Jeff Brohm be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Kyle Whittingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?Yes won
- Will Manny Diaz be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.