College Football · resolved market
Will Jedd Fisch be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ba6d19f4ce9e431593694a3a18696bdd63c15b3aff64c74c0b16149fc82a2a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 3,060$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb235…43fbbacked Yes | 44c | 940$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…67efbacked No | 65c | 817.81$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 19c | 763.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 12c | 444$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes | 59c | 427.95$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…3dc2backed Yes | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 39c | 322.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 63c | 252.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 12c | 201$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…e4dabacked Yes | 49c | 127.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Yes | 62c | 80.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…1d97backed Yes | 19c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…789fbacked Yes | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 36.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ad…3372backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 58c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d64…c92ebacked No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 63c | 22.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…08afbacked No | 65c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jedd Fisch be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?this page
- Will Biff Poggi be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Brian Kelly be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Jeff Brohm be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Kalen DeBoer be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
- Will Kyle Whittingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?Yes won
- Will Manny Diaz be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.