Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $80 February 16-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95190a0bbb73ed5d9426d6b4f1a478b113a6e74f5cba50c259b93aab9ee6e41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x517a…da0bbacked No | 0c | 46,499$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…e1f1backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b15…a0c4backed No | 0c | 9,630$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…eac8backed Yes | 71c | 3,744$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 49c | 2,025$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.85 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 1,635$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.27 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 42c | 1,563$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.85 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,255$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.28 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 72c | 1,154$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.23 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 65c | 1,136$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.09 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 749.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 266.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 69c | 208.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 41c | 181.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 38c | 179.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 9c | 174.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 141.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…f46fbacked No | 18c | 97.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 42c | 91.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 38c | 89.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…59afbacked No | 23c | 86.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed No | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 31c | 76.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…1332backed Yes | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 34c | 31.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…28efbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 71c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $80 February 16-22?this page
- Will Solana dip to $20 February 16-22?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 February 16-22?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 February 16-22?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 February 16-22?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 February 16-22?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 February 16-22?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 February 16-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.