Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebbb069d6253da1de72e5d7e1c8f101b3d0f68dc1060918b1f4e3a58f567d1e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf276…0ddebacked Yes | 59c | 1,513$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…d015backed Yes | 72c | 1,422$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a37…093fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,047$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 27c | 997.07$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.43 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 752.05$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.63 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 32c | 679.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.87 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eec…be17backed No | 41c | 660.27$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.73 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 59c | 648.42$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 638.06$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.08 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…99d0backed No | 55c | 523.59$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…0a51backed Yes | 7c | 517.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 70c | 516.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…5110backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 49c | 437.21$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.62 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…8d0ebacked Yes | 66c | 365.76$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Yes | 67c | 345.54$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.27 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd8…e456backed Yes | 69c | 333$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…446dbacked Yes | 41c | 322.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…0fd7backed Yes | 37c | 318.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 58c | 302.08$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.87 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…9575backed Yes | 69c | 291.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 67c | 284.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 44c | 265.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe428…7a88backed Yes | 70c | 258.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 39c | 245$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…4b2bbacked Yes | 46c | 215$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 45c | 205.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 70c | 199.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 199.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…4571backed Yes | 50c | 196.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…cb7cbacked Yes | 48c | 188.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 173 | 34.7%60 W · 113 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 44c | 178.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…671bbacked Yes | 78c | 163.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…74c5backed Yes | 46c | 159$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8972…ab4bbacked No | 57c | 151.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…1398backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…e267backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 40c | 147.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 35c | 146.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 28c | 139.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 50c | 139$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…611abacked Yes | 56c | 129.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…745bbacked Yes | 12c | 129.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 35c | 127.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 199 | 37.7%75 W · 124 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…d13abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 943 | 3.4%32 W · 911 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 62c | 115.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…f0febacked Yes | 45c | 113.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…7828backed Yes | 47c | 106.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 78c | 106$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 51c | 102.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…afb9backed Yes | 49c | 100.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…9baabacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…d26abacked Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Yes | 27c | 99.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 207 | 28%58 W · 149 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…b40ebacked Yes | 48c | 99.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked No | 53c | 94.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 50c | 89.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…f8d5backed No | 44c | 88.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 545 | 29.5%161 W · 384 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…80c9backed No | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Yes | 53c | 78.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 52c | 71.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…5593backed Yes | 39c | 64.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…5ddfbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c84…787dbacked Yes | 67c | 62.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 45c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…8963backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca9b…217fbacked Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 38c | 51.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…833dbacked Yes | 79c | 50.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…7afabacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 122 | 37.7%46 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 464 | 23.5%109 W · 355 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 727 | 26.4%192 W · 535 L | +63.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…d820backed Yes | 44c | 46.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…2fbdbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…e97fbacked Yes | 60c | 41.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…d2f6backed Yes | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 52c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…0274backed Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…ff73backed Yes | 47c | 30.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…aa3abacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…d35bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 41c | 28.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…31f1backed Yes | 43c | 26.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…e36ebacked Yes | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…b3ccbacked Yes | 78c | 24.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…602fbacked Yes | 50c | 23.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…93ccbacked No | 65c | 22.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…fbdcbacked Yes | 52c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 39°F or below on November 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or higher on November 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.