Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6178132f5255f5c6f27d1d3083a2147d6ae37fd9093f0fd5ac3bfa97734e08e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fb0…611abacked Yes | 47c | 2,764$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.33 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…80c9backed Yes | 43c | 1,879$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.2 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 1,800$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.51 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,576$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.54 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 66c | 1,012$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 79c | 900$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.01 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 59c | 681.3$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 49c | 478.32$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…99d0backed No | 69c | 436.89$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…d015backed No | 63c | 436.19$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eec…be17backed No | 79c | 420.82$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…748cbacked Yes | 70c | 370$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 18c | 366.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 33c | 336$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.92 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 328.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.54 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…0467backed No | 56c | 308.2$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf276…0ddebacked No | 65c | 307.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 34c | 302.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…d26abacked Yes | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 69c | 226.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…464cbacked No | 72c | 224.34$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…4b2bbacked Yes | 31c | 215$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…39c0backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…5fadbacked Yes | 57c | 199.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 70c | 184.3$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 33c | 177.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…7828backed No | 60c | 167.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…671bbacked Yes | 79c | 163.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…d820backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…e267backed No | 74c | 135.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 21c | 127.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Yes | 22c | 126.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 207 | 28%58 W · 149 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 18c | 126.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 38c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 727 | 26.4%192 W · 535 L | +63.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…9baabacked No | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…f0febacked Yes | 44c | 117.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe428…7a88backed No | 63c | 111.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…0fd7backed Yes | 32c | 107.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…6edbbacked Yes | 36c | 107.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…48e4backed Yes | 28c | 105.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…f48bbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…2424backed Yes | 40c | 99.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 97.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…74c5backed Yes | 77c | 90.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 70c | 89.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 24c | 87.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 86.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 437 | 13.3%58 W · 379 L | -78.8wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed Yes | 20c | 76.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 56c | 76.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…7c5abacked Yes | 39c | 76.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 69.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…745bbacked Yes | 43c | 58.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…8963backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…0274backed Yes | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…1696backed Yes | 53c | 54.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…cb7cbacked Yes | 41c | 50.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 173 | 34.7%60 W · 113 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…cd68backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…58e6backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 199 | 37.7%75 W · 124 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 36c | 47.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec72…d655backed Yes | 76c | 42.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0906…4b0dbacked Yes | 37c | 41.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 54c | 32.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…fc76backed Yes | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…0464backed Yes | 41c | 31.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…aa3abacked Yes | 43c | 30.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…0a51backed Yes | 64c | 30.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…31f1backed Yes | 42c | 26.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…e36ebacked Yes | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…a046backed No | 68c | 20.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…cdd7backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a8f6backed Yes | 77c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c0…818abacked No | 80c | 18.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 39°F or below on November 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or higher on November 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.