Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will BNB reach $1000 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x706b315eb2d377e488310ab72393e1e337017c67b4a2cdac3e8ee0056806cae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 61c | 2,924$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.48 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,979$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,595$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 1,156$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,122$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…5667backed No | 46c | 1,043$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…a94dbacked Yes | 33c | 810$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…01ccbacked Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 79c | 499.84$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…a46bbacked No | 79c | 469.69$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 25c | 437.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 72c | 329.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 32c | 315.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 70c | 284.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…6180backed Yes | 31c | 263.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…660fbacked Yes | 45c | 261.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…573ebacked No | 79c | 260.31$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…30c9backed No | 63c | 256$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +266.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…7538backed Yes | 41c | 241.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 67c | 227.89$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…cc82backed Yes | 7c | 202.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…2728backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…0777backed Yes | 39c | 197.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…0507backed No | 71c | 195.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe1…c119backed Yes | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…2060backed Yes | 38c | 172.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…c1eebacked No | 63c | 165.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 160.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…b048backed Yes | 31c | 145.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…7485backed Yes | 38c | 141.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +220.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…2df4backed No | 71c | 141.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…7ce7backed Yes | 40c | 139.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…2e8dbacked Yes | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…241ebacked No | 67c | 119.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…e8a6backed Yes | 39c | 114.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…3700backed Yes | 33c | 113.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 65c | 107.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…c068backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 48c | 104.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732a…68d7backed Yes | 38c | 104.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…700bbacked No | 60c | 100.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…7a33backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 57c | 98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…a5d3backed Yes | 40c | 97.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…1575backed Yes | 16c | 94.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…b634backed Yes | 38c | 94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 22c | 89.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…292cbacked Yes | 33c | 85.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 23c | 85.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd5…7cf7backed Yes | 39c | 84.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…2763backed Yes | 28c | 84.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7c44backed Yes | 38c | 79.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 70c | 75.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…7fa4backed Yes | 39c | 68.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…8b78backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…deebbacked Yes | 32c | 63.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…329dbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8170…dce5backed Yes | 41c | 48.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0ef9backed No | 67c | 42.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 41.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…cc52backed Yes | 65c | 38.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c92…32fdbacked Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No | 67c | 33.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f844backed No | 80c | 32.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…2d3fbacked No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 41c | 25.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…2e43backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 64c | 22.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd720…a642backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…e6b2backed No | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BNB reach $1000 in January?this page
- Will BNB dip to $400 in January?No won
- Will BNB dip to $600 in January?No won
- Will BNB dip to $700 in January?No won
- Will BNB dip to $800 in January?Yes won
- Will BNB reach $1100 in January?No won
- Will BNB reach $1200 in January?No won
- Will BNB reach $1300 in January?No won
- Will BNB reach $900 in January?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.