TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

IPO · resolved market

Brex IPO in 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,411 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in IPO
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x950a…b380backed Yes1c1,733$16 inLost-$15.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes1c910$10 inLost-$10.01137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…a152backed Yes2c789$12 inLost-$12.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes2c571.57$14 inLost-$13.7914425.7%37 W · 107 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes4c474.9$18 inLost-$18.013616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes5c296.08$14 inLost-$13.56392.6%1 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-72%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes11c259$28 inLost-$28.49175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-92.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes6c196.13$12 inLost-$11.65110%0 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes12c164.11$20 inLost-$19.693923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8582…2a47backed Yes12c161.54$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.