TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

IPO · resolved market

Ripple Labs IPO in 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,230 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in IPO
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19b6…fd8dbacked Yes5c12,369$636 inLost-$635.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes1c5,963$85 inLost-$85.06137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes8c3,783$308 inLost-$307.713616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6570…cb18backed Yes5c1,900$95 inLost-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6358…cc23backed Yes6c1,190$71 inLost-$71.430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes5c1,130$59 inLost-$59.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes3c1,034$33 inLost-$32.79392.6%1 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-72%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes9c408.7$39 inLost-$38.7175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-92.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c396$17 inLost-$17.141274.7%6 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-83.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes5c222$11 inLost-$11.11010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-84.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb02e…25e5backed Yes9c150$14 inLost-$13.540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.