TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

IPO · resolved market

Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,657 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in IPO
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50bc…78c2backed Yes6c4,000$231 inLost-$230.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes3c1,959$60 inLost-$59.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes4c1,667$65 inLost-$65.13137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6162…3495backed Yes17c1,625$270 inLost-$269.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes4c1,029$43 inLost-$42.55392.6%1 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-72%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a7…ae55backed Yes28c831.75$230 inLost-$230.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes42c826.62$350 inLost-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8196…0890backed Yes9c583.31$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef6d…9bd2backed No50c492.46$246 inWon+$246.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c459.5$33 inLost-$32.691274.7%6 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-83.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes11c429.84$49 inLost-$49.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-73.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…e08ebacked No65c345.3$226 inWon+$119.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes5c198.5$10 inLost-$10.03320%0 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b91…2709backed Yes14c198$27 inLost-$26.733740.5%15 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes12c143$16 inLost-$16.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes18c98.4$18 inLost-$17.831010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-81.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No59c75.3$45 inWon+$30.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3701…ce16backed No48c74.46$36 inWon+$38.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No80c72$58 inWon+$14.413932.4%45 W · 94 L-16.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No79c70$55 inWon+$14.912250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Yes31c58$18 inLost-$17.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed No55c50$28 inWon+$22.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ef2…f85ebacked No58c34.48$20 inWon+$14.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No78c30$23 inWon+$6.611634.5%40 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No57c29.16$17 inWon+$12.614829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe939…5e2bbacked No68c22.16$15 inWon+$7.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3b…3035backed No78c20$16 inWon+$4.4825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…cc50backed No65c19.88$13 inWon+$6.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.