TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,040 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Knicks62c29,761$18,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,309.1711333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs47c17,411$8,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,103.9218651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks60c17,282$10,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,877.3664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs45c14,769$6,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,668.769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs38c13,158$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs38c13,109$4,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,973.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks49c12,953$6,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,650.051,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks54c12,000$6,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,479.9828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3601,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs36c4,281$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks63c4,102$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.7825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks60c3,919$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.6119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs31c3,144$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.162,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Spurs51c2,853$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.876445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.9920744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Knicks51c1,660$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.637755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs40c1,533$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.4852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks51c1,520$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.5255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs37c1,276$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.8863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs37c1,208$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.0266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks68c1,069$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.3153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs46c1,029$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.2152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs59c1,021$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs36c1,000$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.291,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Knicks51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.397638.2%29 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Knicks51c941.18$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1828838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks66c650.03$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs37c649$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.131,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs62c644.54$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs37c630.47$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Knicks63c627.81$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.2920650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Knicks50c596$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2983351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs37c513.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.061,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc59e…a3febacked Knicks62c480$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Spurs38c480$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.49747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Spurs55c472.73$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks60c443.57$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Knicks57c404.96$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.131747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Spurs37c404$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks57c374.15$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Knicks51c360$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.414152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs37c357.52$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.281,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs35c332$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.991,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs34c303.02$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.881,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Spurs38c294$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.728439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c2…8c93backed Spurs34c265.56$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks79c264.44$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Spurs38c236.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks38c212$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.443,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Spurs38c211.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spurs38c204$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5216048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Spurs6c200.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0327937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7426233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Knicks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.087153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks53c174.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7222753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7311258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Spurs38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6060%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8081…95cabacked Spurs10c153.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.261711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a4…260fbacked Spurs38c150.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.111533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs38c144.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs37c143.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0425554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks70c141.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7332654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs38c140$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.256348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs36c136.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5118235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Spurs38c136$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs35c135.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks63c130$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2618445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Knicks62c121.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.245657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs46c120.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3115044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs56c118.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5337652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Spurs36c108.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0426345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Spurs28c106.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.539552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Spurs12c105$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.522920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs37c104.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3f…6d9ebacked Knicks62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-55.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f25…4f11backed Spurs38c99.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+51.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac15…75a4backed Knicks52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks52c96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Knicks51c92.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.163946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs37c80.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8310548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Knicks44c79.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.559949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks66c79.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Knicks62c71.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0114148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked Spurs38c70.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.951957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks51c68.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8692750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs37c67.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8319959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs38c66.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3340548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Spurs38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb549…ae63backed Spurs37c62.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.372040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Spurs37c61.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0629449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1f…7661backed Knicks62c61.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.34875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs36c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3415648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…db97backed Knicks43c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.588534.1%29 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Spurs38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198053.8%43 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Spurs49c49.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1919445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7626755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks62c40.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Spurs26c40.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4931953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.