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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Michigan Wolverines vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Northwestern Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd52…df69backed Michigan Wolverines67c28,022$18,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,274.315349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Northwestern Wildcats32c25,427$8,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,107.9949345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Northwestern Wildcats73c14,297$10,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,487.828544.7%38 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Northwestern Wildcats48c10,406$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.954560%27 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Northwestern Wildcats6c8,519$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Michigan Wolverines52c8,380$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,022.3269142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Northwestern Wildcats36c8,000$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.0412230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northwestern Wildcats26c7,308$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.223,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Michigan Wolverines32c5,857$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,980.582,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Michigan Wolverines61c3,746$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.412,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Michigan Wolverines62c3,563$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.7127450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michigan Wolverines58c3,383$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.485,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern Wildcats16c3,227$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.962,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Northwestern Wildcats13c2,700$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Michigan Wolverines56c2,438$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07515733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x703d…69fdbacked Michigan Wolverines40c2,352$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.191770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Northwestern Wildcats12c2,200$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26425130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Michigan Wolverines76c2,095$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.632,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Northwestern Wildcats23c1,539$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.986636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Michigan Wolverines48c1,531$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.691,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Northwestern Wildcats39c1,522$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.294,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Michigan Wolverines65c1,413$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.881,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Michigan Wolverines69c1,163$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.6224444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Northwestern Wildcats35c1,093$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Northwestern Wildcats20c995.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d3…4c58backed Northwestern Wildcats16c946.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b5…0821backed Northwestern Wildcats41c876.04$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.484228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Northwestern Wildcats8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Northwestern Wildcats8c818$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.441,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Northwestern Wildcats8c773.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8675447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Northwestern Wildcats34c745$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3261446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Michigan Wolverines29c709.29$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.621636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Michigan Wolverines45c699.91$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.9112749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Northwestern Wildcats16c639.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f7a…d37ebacked Northwestern Wildcats3c594.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Michigan Wolverines69c582.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.295339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Michigan Wolverines73c577.91$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.392646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Michigan Wolverines71c563.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.798254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Northwestern Wildcats54c545.69$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2931338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Michigan Wolverines71c524.59$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.651,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern Wildcats7c514.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Michigan Wolverines30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Michigan Wolverines25c497$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.755820.7%12 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Northwestern Wildcats56c491.12$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9226740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Northwestern Wildcats6c445.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.932,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Northwestern Wildcats35c398.05$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northwestern Wildcats39c362.55$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.021,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Michigan Wolverines61c360$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.817844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Northwestern Wildcats59c337.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Michigan Wolverines33c335.45$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7523149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern Wildcats21c335$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.051,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Michigan Wolverines40c330.44$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.444973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Michigan Wolverines68c327.49$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9625337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf084…4b0ebacked Northwestern Wildcats4c299.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12230%0 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Michigan Wolverines68c294.32$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.434242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked Michigan Wolverines62c278.81$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.559153.8%49 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aed…37c0backed Northwestern Wildcats47c264.28$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Northwestern Wildcats30c251.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9415240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern Wildcats55c250.34$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.693,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern Wildcats33c240.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.393,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…642cbacked Michigan Wolverines78c204.55$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.551172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Northwestern Wildcats36c204.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.811,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Michigan Wolverines77c201.5$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.552755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Northwestern Wildcats10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Northwestern Wildcats9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Michigan Wolverines39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12242934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b1…3c7cbacked Michigan Wolverines56c199.03$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.031030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Michigan Wolverines44c185.67$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6722640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Michigan Wolverines77c173.31$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.348462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Michigan Wolverines50c167.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5916436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Michigan Wolverines61c164.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.737746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern Wildcats26c149$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.142,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern Wildcats39c139.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.375,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats28c133.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.54,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff03…232cbacked Northwestern Wildcats23c131.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Northwestern Wildcats26c130.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.351,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Northwestern Wildcats38c120.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Michigan Wolverines44c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.845953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Northwestern Wildcats41c109.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.471464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Northwestern Wildcats56c107.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7629954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Northwestern Wildcats35c103.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Michigan Wolverines60c103.15$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.267247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northwestern Wildcats30c103.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.131,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Northwestern Wildcats24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…b597backed Northwestern Wildcats27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Northwestern Wildcats33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf34…caf1backed Michigan Wolverines41c98.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.291010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-75.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Northwestern Wildcats39c84.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e86…0979backed Northwestern Wildcats37c82.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.381540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Michigan Wolverines49c81.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…abccbacked Michigan Wolverines38c80.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.49450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed Michigan Wolverines67c79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.075844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Michigan Wolverines56c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.246154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Michigan Wolverines71c67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5319641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Michigan Wolverines39c62.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.937350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Michigan Wolverines71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.345552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eeb…3a88backed Northwestern Wildcats45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Northwestern Wildcats38c46.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Northwestern Wildcats36c42.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.341315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-49.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Northwestern Wildcats60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2427358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.