Ukraine · resolved market
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd572def2cb8aaaea536207f9a82374e721724aa55e4875d3d20727c5722a7efd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $737,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $737,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 0c | 54,014$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed No | 0c | 49,725$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9e…5e69backed No | 0c | 35,761$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed No | 0c | 32,289$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…2b04backed No | 0c | 23,149$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…5246backed No | 0c | 22,177$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…b272backed No | 0c | 21,619$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…79fcbacked No | 0c | 20,899$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa1…6594backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…5faabacked No | 0c | 17,190$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 1c | 15,190$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…25e6backed No | 0c | 13,396$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 0c | 12,406$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc516…2f30backed No | 0c | 11,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeba…4b9dbacked No | 0c | 11,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28df…4843backed No | 14c | 7,947$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…5d27backed No | 3c | 7,850$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed No | 0c | 7,575$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ee…f0a7backed No | 1c | 7,414$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c52…3115backed No | 0c | 7,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6da…2ad1backed No | 0c | 6,615$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +454.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…311dbacked No | 0c | 6,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…8e0abacked No | 0c | 5,621$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc830…28d4backed No | 0c | 5,119$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 79c | 4,654$3,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked No | 11c | 4,076$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.91 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed No | 0c | 4,048$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…5368backed No | 1c | 3,741$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 13c | 3,639$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 44c | 3,408$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.53 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…420fbacked No | 0c | 3,062$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +675.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 55c | 2,800$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 7c | 2,724$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…592ebacked No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…6f77backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…218fbacked No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…807cbacked No | 11c | 2,446$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…b557backed No | 22c | 2,199$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…6d98backed Yes | 13c | 1,960$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +605.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 28c | 1,806$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…dcd7backed No | 6c | 1,800$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed No | 16c | 1,527$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 13c | 1,381$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 6c | 1,310$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed No | 10c | 1,273$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed No | 1c | 1,030$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5069…4958backed Yes | 24c | 1,023$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +399.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 9c | 1,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9059…a4fabacked No | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 58c | 896.95$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.33 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 30c | 872.89$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 48c | 828.21$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 77c | 826.2$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed No | 32c | 800$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…df40backed No | 3c | 800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…b421backed Yes | 15c | 776.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 29c | 750$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked No | 4c | 733.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…7f5abacked Yes | 15c | 650.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 42c | 621.18$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.65 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed Yes | 68c | 550$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed No | 12c | 538.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…6788backed No | 10c | 512.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 40c | 427.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 34c | 387.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 64c | 370$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.65 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed Yes | 62c | 366.16$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 43c | 356.64$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 15c | 329.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 12c | 326.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.54 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…36ddbacked No | 79c | 315.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…405abacked No | 25c | 315.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…4228backed Yes | 15c | 268.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…3f6fbacked Yes | 80c | 251.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…0213backed Yes | 26c | 233.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…123ebacked Yes | 50c | 229.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…acecbacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 68c | 200$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 26c | 165$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +705.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…5698backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fd83backed Yes | 68c | 146.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb4…0068backed Yes | 66c | 131.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed No | 44c | 119.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 12c | 101.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…81ddbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a85…37c8backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…3cb7backed No | 20c | 98.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked No | 24c | 97.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…a564backed Yes | 15c | 83.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…a811backed No | 62c | 80.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed Yes | 67c | 71.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 77c | 66.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +106%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…2179backed Yes | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0db2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6588…d868backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.