Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03d0bc33df1f4585dc3993de589deb901fcfe458a5a8b8ee2051c6edaf05cf5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 5c | 8,525$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,101.86 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 5c | 6,635$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 8c | 5,601$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.35 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 7c | 3,701$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 9c | 3,101$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.86 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 11c | 3,064$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.66 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…8ebbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,416$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Yes | 65c | 2,150$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 16c | 1,746$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.76 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 10c | 1,693$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.25 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 22c | 1,553$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.94 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 18c | 1,514$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.4 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.98 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Yes | 59c | 1,194$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 32c | 1,164$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.78 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,153$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.17 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 31c | 1,004$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.29 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…f9dbbacked No | 31c | 953.47$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…ff69backed Yes | 5c | 903.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 22c | 899.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.42 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes | 69c | 895.15$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 52c | 839.3$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.81 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…5fcfbacked No | 76c | 648.49$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 11c | 641$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b2…c5d3backed No | 43c | 570.38$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed No | 70c | 547$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…7dadbacked No | 36c | 542.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…9ff1backed No | 9c | 539.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 58c | 517.7$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.56 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 4c | 500.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.74 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 42c | 475.09$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 78c | 471.38$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 78c | 470.44$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 442.28$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes | 75c | 406.94$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 29c | 405.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…9e58backed No | 44c | 405.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…b41cbacked Yes | 25c | 378.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 43c | 352.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…00fdbacked No | 44c | 346.21$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 11c | 330.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.16 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…df91backed Yes | 67c | 321.42$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 49c | 316.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…0145backed No | 29c | 309.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed Yes | 66c | 290.45$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 51c | 287.31$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…40f9backed No | 33c | 264$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 4c | 254.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…6623backed No | 65c | 250.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0c…25dfbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…06b0backed Yes | 75c | 249.69$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…6435backed No | 34c | 229.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked Yes | 46c | 225.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 224.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…97e7backed Yes | 17c | 218.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…c1b8backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…e7babacked No | 32c | 209.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 191.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed No | 49c | 190.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…959cbacked Yes | 76c | 182.47$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 45c | 180.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked Yes | 20c | 172.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.77 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 76c | 169$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 68c | 167.39$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed Yes | 64c | 155.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 65c | 154.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…4c9fbacked No | 33c | 153.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4846backed Yes | 70c | 150.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…9995backed No | 40c | 150.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 25c | 149.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…e86bbacked No | 31c | 149.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7b76backed Yes | 61c | 143.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 28c | 143.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 19c | 139.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Yes | 44c | 135.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 74c | 130.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…2b77backed No | 77c | 129.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…bd80backed No | 32c | 128.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked Yes | 63c | 127.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…60dfbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49b…d416backed Yes | 13c | 115.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked Yes | 70c | 113.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 66c | 111.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 32c | 109.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 109$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 32c | 101$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…283bbacked Yes | 50c | 100.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…7737backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +935.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.