Boxing · resolved market
Will Lin Yu-Ting (TPE) win Gold in Women’s 57kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a7f97e1158e1ad6d6a578d0202fac6080e310040744c063f347d26045bd009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 3c | 4,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 19c | 2,516$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed No | 24c | 1,320$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 79c | 1,301$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 16c | 1,086$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed No | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 14c | 569.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed No | 18c | 499.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 13c | 447.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 15c | 410$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 4c | 400.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed No | 18c | 386.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…9ccbbacked Yes | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed No | 21c | 377$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…c3d4backed No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed No | 16c | 281.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…e459backed No | 20c | 226.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked Yes | 79c | 225$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…24ebbacked Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked No | 17c | 131.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…c966backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…827cbacked Yes | 79c | 35.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…41d0backed Yes | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lin Yu-Ting (TPE) win Gold in Women’s 57kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?this page
- Will Any Other Boxer win Gold in Women’s 57kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.