MLB · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the National League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f5d9897e3345a731ac36657fff9def6f9907dff9fc44024db53bd6df5ff904f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cd5…b4bbbacked No | 38c | 2,277$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…1a05backed Yes | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 63c | 670$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 14c | 658.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…21a7backed Yes | 50c | 576.59$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 46c | 460.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.64 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 33c | 403.85$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.58 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…4d71backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Yes | 70c | 383.63$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 40c | 335$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 47c | 296.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…90b1backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…c999backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 51c | 264.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 24c | 261.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4a…73edbacked Yes | 18c | 178.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 66c | 156.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…38b4backed Yes | 77c | 145$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 77c | 130.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…e65fbacked Yes | 60c | 112.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…b402backed Yes | 59c | 105.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 76c | 85.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…2c73backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked No | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 28c | 79.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…e6b7backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed Yes | 63c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…682bbacked Yes | 64c | 70.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e4…1d1ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 52.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea24…3e38backed Yes | 59c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 34.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…03e4backed Yes | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb94…5ecdbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…4f3abacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…fababacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…a2edbacked Yes | 69c | 29.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…a8edbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7b…61c4backed Yes | 62c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…ccd7backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a9…6110backed No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the National League?this page
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the National League?No won
- Will the New York Mets win the National League?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the National League?No won
- Will the San Diego Padres win the National League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.