MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs Royals Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa28486e7bef8bee27f152c615f6a0f6629cb015631ad05ec9434f9d7021f8b0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yankees | 66c | 4,408$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Royals | 32c | 3,265$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…e748backed Royals | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Royals | 37c | 2,182$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.27 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 70c | 2,100$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.49 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 67c | 2,000$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yankees | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yankees | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…6e07backed Yankees | 61c | 1,357$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Royals | 36c | 1,332$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.96 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Royals | 39c | 1,131$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.28 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yankees | 64c | 1,111$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Yankees | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yankees | 65c | 563.64$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 73c | 530.37$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yankees | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Royals | 31c | 356$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…919dbacked Yankees | 62c | 337.37$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yankees | 79c | 305.6$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Royals | 33c | 301.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Royals | 34c | 185$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Royals | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Royals | 20c | 168.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Yankees | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…1966backed Royals | 28c | 108.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…0dcbbacked Yankees | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Royals | 35c | 101.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Royals | 27c | 95.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yankees | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Royals | 21c | 74.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…636abacked Royals | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Royals | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…5350backed Yankees | 64c | 57.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…d582backed Royals | 18c | 57.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…da91backed Royals | 18c | 55.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yankees | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Royals | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…797fbacked Royals | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Yankees | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…a22cbacked Yankees | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Yankees | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Yankees | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…e80ebacked Yankees | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.