Us Politics · resolved market
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51637548ec59b48eb3ccdbcf8c882a9e01a671a960458c4afb16bf80cc4e4e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 49c | 12,715$6,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,281.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 8,680$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 40c | 6,826$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.77 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 41c | 5,825$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.08 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 15c | 5,772$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.46 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 45c | 4,777$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.91 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 54c | 4,704$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.49 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…ce5fbacked No | 35c | 3,767$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 75c | 3,603$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.59 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 48c | 3,431$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.15 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 59c | 3,325$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.26 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 58c | 3,200$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 67c | 3,100$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.93 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 45c | 2,952$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.29 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 58c | 2,578$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…2a81backed No | 58c | 2,567$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 44c | 2,563$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.89 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…19d9backed Yes | 50c | 2,448$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 43c | 2,411$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.27 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 6c | 2,153$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.18 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 66c | 1,849$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.7 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 33c | 1,817$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.99 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 46c | 1,768$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.68 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 52c | 1,677$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.5 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 51c | 1,557$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…dc26backed Yes | 52c | 1,538$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…f1a4backed No | 29c | 1,536$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b5…a7dfbacked Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…9c2fbacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 57c | 1,402$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 34c | 1,110$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.12 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…c208backed Yes | 27c | 1,050$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.11 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 51c | 1,000$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.44 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…0eddbacked Yes | 29c | 993.48$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 56c | 961.39$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.94 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 36c | 946.63$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.77 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdef…010bbacked Yes | 64c | 911.55$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 70c | 899.96$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 53c | 886.51$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 56c | 886.09$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.71 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked No | 24c | 881.64$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…bf79backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 36c | 836.5$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.39 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 62c | 805.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.13 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…decdbacked No | 17c | 804.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c2…66f0backed No | 42c | 793.45$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 40c | 790$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.79 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 30c | 743.33$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…6a27backed No | 39c | 699$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…06b0backed No | 30c | 670.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 39c | 662.74$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 39c | 648.37$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.07 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 65c | 617.13$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8316backed No | 33c | 599.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…895fbacked No | 65c | 591.54$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 40c | 589.9$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked No | 41c | 557.36$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.58 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…1c14backed Yes | 37c | 540.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 44c | 533.84$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.21 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…f2cebacked No | 68c | 513.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 66c | 513.67$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 41c | 509.81$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.16 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 33c | 508.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…827ebacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…a613backed Yes | 75c | 493.77$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…aa8bbacked Yes | 31c | 483.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed No | 53c | 445.97$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 55c | 445.86$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e72…0603backed No | 45c | 438.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed No | 4c | 434$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f2…aabcbacked No | 34c | 425$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 49c | 412$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.88 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed No | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…8508backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…c03abacked No | 46c | 380$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…dde5backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Yes | 29c | 341.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +107%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 60c | 320$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 41c | 319.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…dd73backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 33c | 304.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008f…3104backed No | 34c | 298.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…90ccbacked No | 43c | 277.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 63c | 276.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed No | 52c | 276.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…07c4backed Yes | 52c | 275$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.