College Football · resolved market
Will Ole Miss beat South Carolina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41709dd7b9278cc87bd7c6cf7f9646079ee50ceac17ca9b5ec7644e53fbf2e6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Missof Ole Miss, S. Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Ole Miss | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked S. Carolina | 25c | 1,449$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.12 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked S. Carolina | 23c | 604.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ole Miss | 77c | 604.13$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ole Miss | 70c | 256$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed S. Carolina | 23c | 199.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Ole Miss | 77c | 191$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Ole Miss | 73c | 152.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked S. Carolina | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed S. Carolina | 27c | 114.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…c0aebacked S. Carolina | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked S. Carolina | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked S. Carolina | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed S. Carolina | 13c | 79.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…2ae9backed Ole Miss | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 73cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed S. Carolina | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed S. Carolina | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Ole Miss | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Ole Miss | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…c29abacked Ole Miss | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…c8ccbacked Ole Miss | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…f240backed Ole Miss | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ole Miss beat South Carolina?this page
- Will Ole Miss and South Carolina combine for 54 or more points?Under won
- Will Ole Miss beat South Carolina by 9 or more points?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.