College Football · resolved market
Will Georgia beat Alabama by 2 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x091381836bc8bca61a1ae07df020b9a65cb3560fbc0b375ef532003e9bd534c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 48c | 14,645$7,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,078.26 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 52c | 13,040$6,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,319.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 52c | 10,901$5,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,241.48 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 48c | 6,126$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.41 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 49c | 1,998$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked Yes | 51c | 500$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…5191backed Yes | 48c | 263$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 50c | 235.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…5009backed Yes | 49c | 157.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…b572backed No | 51c | 99.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…1a59backed Yes | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…0b00backed Yes | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…0bd9backed No | 52c | 97.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…50b9backed No | 52c | 43.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…d0afbacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…2485backed Yes | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377f…9e02backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c2…0e03backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…5d44backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…d02bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…822bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia beat Alabama by 2 or more points?this page
- Will Georgia and Alabama combine for 49 or more points?Over won
- Will Georgia beat Alabama?Alabama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.