NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8020c9297783fcb13796e1d5832443066a6c72c417fdab2ee7bd0c328056a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 1,768$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.61 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Under | 48c | 1,164$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.09 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…8cf6backed Under | 58c | 1,132$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Under | 50c | 1,073$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.38 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Over | 30c | 864.62$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.19 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Over | 51c | 700$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 49c | 677.43$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.49 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Under | 50c | 540.84$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Over | 52c | 506.65$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Over | 52c | 411.13$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.51 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 403.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Over | 51c | 398.04$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 363.46$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 64c | 300$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Under | 49c | 242.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…2a71backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Under | 48c | 165.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Under | 64c | 156.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Over | 52c | 123.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…8f91backed Over | 52c | 98.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed Over | 52c | 77.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Under | 49c | 50.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…927dbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Under | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…0061backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f8…b85ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 223.5this page
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. PacersKnicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.