NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46a1474db61fb855a9361b7454cf71de12ce63f6cb290a309e0b3fc9ff2521f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Over | 47c | 4,153$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Over | 10c | 2,547$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.68 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 60c | 2,047$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.35 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Over | 37c | 1,106$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.8 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 38c | 1,082$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.87 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 36c | 1,075$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.09 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.21 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 2c | 779$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 663.58$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 35c | 578.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.14 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd078…1614backed Over | 67c | 389.65$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Under | 49c | 252.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 64c | 243.65$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Over | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Over | 51c | 171.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over | 64c | 101.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -15.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Over | 66c | 80.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8c…0fdbbacked Over | 67c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Over | 71c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 218.5this page
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. PacersKnicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.