TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Red Sox, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$424,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Red Sox47c202,374$95,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,282.0817652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yankees53c99,853$52,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,922.0735854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yankees53c91,924$48,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,719.986556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Red Sox55c29,661$16,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,361.68641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yankees52c14,470$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf90d…0b4dbacked Yankees30c12,011$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,563.872231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yankees12c11,107$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34617136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox48c8,977$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,631.71,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Red Sox48c8,106$3,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,215.1411153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Yankees25c6,896$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.9519650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox49c5,963$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.422,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…c481backed Yankees54c5,838$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,151.331838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Yankees51c5,757$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.633554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d18…b702backed Yankees57c5,669$3,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,230.841163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox59c4,366$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.282,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Red Sox55c4,221$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.3125550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Yankees1c4,116$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.68504%2 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-86.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yankees51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yankees50c3,724$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86239041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Yankees40c3,390$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.0525835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yankees22c2,819$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.649,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yankees41c2,502$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02711036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Red Sox49c2,487$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.0497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox75c2,481$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.8863942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox49c2,449$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.981,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Yankees52c2,286$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.564153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yankees29c2,092$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.4320523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80a0…d0afbacked Red Sox56c2,067$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.12948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox53c2,052$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.931,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Yankees57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14020450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yankees51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Sox49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9233349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc87f…fb1fbacked Yankees52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Yankees32c1,900$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.967238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yankees25c1,873$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.730842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf183…93e9backed Red Sox62c1,674$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.832958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x766c…2377backed Yankees31c1,501$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees46c1,500$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox73c1,414$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.9740547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees36c1,205$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1245248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.991,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees15c1,009$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yankees50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Red Sox50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Yankees51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010240.2%41 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5431…d00fbacked Yankees50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yankees51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yankees52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox49c999.94$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9737446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox51c999$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.5161346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Yankees39c923.89$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.023132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yankees3c915$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.954754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Yankees19c861.87$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5317051.8%88 W · 82 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Yankees2c758.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.775852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees24c738.66$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2842452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Red Sox50c736.7$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.3515543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yankees21c736.39$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Red Sox42c717.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.9713946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ce…13eebacked Yankees45c708.23$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.976538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Yankees16c695.36$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.249824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Red Sox49c666$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.667946.8%37 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfa…d8d2backed Yankees51c632.85$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Red Sox50c593.46$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7314047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Yankees51c592.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Red Sox54c558.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6238245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yankees18c546.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox47c529.01$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3879740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Yankees50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Yankees9c499.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox48c499.96$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9871751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Yankees51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yankees27c465.85$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7132832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e73…3d8fbacked Red Sox51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Red Sox50c398$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19915949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Yankees51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Yankees6c386$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.062488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yankees52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27be…e3a9backed Yankees52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yankees45c363.86$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16252542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Yankees44c357.17$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.998434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yankees50c355.97$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Red Sox69c343.2$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.42166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yankees51c340$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.251953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc14f…3450backed Yankees51c280.58$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a9…609fbacked Yankees23c272.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.553844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees15c271.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Red Sox75c250$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4650447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c11…719fbacked Red Sox75c249.42$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.592751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yankees4c242.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.265053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Yankees26c239.21$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0554441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox38c236.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees41c225.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.821,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Yankees5c216.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.814742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yankees51c210.92$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5717754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Red Sox49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yankees51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10212451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.