World Politics · resolved market
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27872413a9270362977a54463caae5cb0485eb6b36f3a40d99a40d36ae77dbb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 1c | 43,056$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.71 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 3c | 22,666$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,596$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 1c | 10,693$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 5c | 7,394$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.25 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,560$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…c1d0backed Yes | 1c | 5,179$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,621$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 1c | 3,400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a3…4757backed Yes | 2c | 2,599$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41d…9d9dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,376$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7c…a833backed Yes | 4c | 2,039$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,894$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 1c | 1,873$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b36abacked Yes | 4c | 1,725$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…04e8backed Yes | 1c | 1,490$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,376$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7357…2054backed Yes | 1c | 1,186$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…b72fbacked Yes | 11c | 606$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…fbfcbacked Yes | 7c | 561.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…384bbacked Yes | 4c | 314.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 218.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…9095backed Yes | 8c | 131.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 19c | 78.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?this page
- Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes won
- Will the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Liberal Democrats win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.