World Politics · resolved market
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78b569c9ac70dab90d6022841ae03c840fe960cc02f53be8be57e3ec80d06740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 2c | 45,097$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.33 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 0c | 17,530$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484e…5633backed Yes | 2c | 12,601$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 2c | 11,150$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.59 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked Yes | 1c | 11,066$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 6,349$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…66e7backed Yes | 1c | 4,600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 2c | 3,061$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab7f…2b5cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,001$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…ac7abacked Yes | 2c | 2,922$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…9530backed Yes | 2c | 2,294$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +300.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…2d1dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,241$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 1c | 1,671$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…6b1ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…3964backed Yes | 1c | 1,548$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 2c | 1,404$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…e4e3backed Yes | 2c | 1,357$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,148$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…9df4backed Yes | 1c | 1,140$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 4c | 1,130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…fbfabacked Yes | 3c | 1,009$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 940.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…9a38backed Yes | 2c | 771.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…8813backed Yes | 4c | 609.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 549.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 3c | 491.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…1a66backed Yes | 3c | 394.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…384bbacked Yes | 3c | 316.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8b…3b70backed Yes | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…00dabacked Yes | 4c | 285.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?this page
- Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes won
- Will the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Liberal Democrats win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.