World Politics · resolved market
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16be0f42841ac19d6ca75c696dab3d020cac40c4d3edde6dc8ffd5aee862f2f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 2c | 52,593$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.86 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b6…83c8backed No | 2c | 24,812$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 2c | 22,409$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.54 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…7c7abacked No | 4c | 21,081$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 17,846$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…2d8cbacked No | 1c | 12,745$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 2c | 6,244$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 3c | 4,323$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…22e7backed No | 1c | 3,951$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 3,720$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 1c | 3,694$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 2c | 3,692$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 1c | 3,506$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd36f…0156backed No | 3c | 3,251$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed No | 2c | 2,500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked No | 4c | 2,500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked No | 2c | 2,447$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…2751backed No | 2c | 2,401$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…a91dbacked No | 1c | 2,309$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…b948backed No | 1c | 2,207$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…0dc0backed No | 5c | 2,062$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 2,006$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…b72fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,002$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…5726backed No | 7c | 1,913$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…92c1backed No | 3c | 1,798$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…253bbacked No | 2c | 1,437$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ce…ed1abacked No | 1c | 1,239$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed No | 7c | 1,212$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 1,093$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…fc4fbacked No | 10c | 1,092$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 3c | 979.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 5c | 756.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 754.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 5c | 735.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 6c | 692$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…9820backed No | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 10c | 679.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 2c | 639.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 624.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 610.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…c8b6backed No | 3c | 574.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…3868backed No | 7c | 530.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 53c | 509.49$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.17 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…d710backed No | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…00dabacked No | 4c | 480.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…0e83backed No | 4c | 474.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 45c | 471.86$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 4c | 432.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 5c | 390.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a3…4757backed No | 4c | 384.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 52c | 370$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 342.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…1a64backed No | 3c | 341.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 8c | 341.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…2f76backed No | 3c | 338.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 48c | 332$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +7.0wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 67c | 315.58$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 5c | 314.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Yes | 74c | 300.55$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…7bd4backed No | 4c | 294.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 10c | 293.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41d…9d9dbacked No | 5c | 287.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 7c | 285.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 263.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 4c | 231.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…d0acbacked No | 9c | 225.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 49c | 220.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 43c | 209.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…5b23backed Yes | 19c | 208$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…318dbacked No | 8c | 167.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked No | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…09dabacked No | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…09d5backed Yes | 44c | 122.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…399abacked Yes | 45c | 115.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 35c | 101.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 14c | 72.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…b664backed Yes | 77c | 54.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…1efbbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77be…a093backed Yes | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 37c | 28.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…90f4backed Yes | 60c | 26.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…3242backed Yes | 72c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc8…5709backed No | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.5wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…184abacked No | 65c | 22.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…2150backed No | 62c | 21.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…d52dbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?this page
- Will the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Liberal Democrats win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.