Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0375a73dda41c43e3ef415dbb0a29846c7c89b3bac0954c8243c9f768586ab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51ba…1bd1backed Yes | 1c | 57,343$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 2c | 48,378$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca4…3e81backed Yes | 9c | 24,084$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 1c | 19,357$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.59 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 1c | 15,421$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 15,195$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…217cbacked Yes | 2c | 14,450$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 6c | 13,809$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.58 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 5c | 13,004$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.11 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,327$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…9e58backed Yes | 7c | 8,570$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 7,548$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 8c | 7,026$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.27 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,404$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 8c | 4,694$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.49 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 3c | 4,517$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,870$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4353…219cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,669$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 33cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…0a33backed Yes | 1c | 3,077$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,791$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Yes | 2c | 2,713$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…f309backed Yes | 2c | 2,447$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…915dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,391$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…f485backed Yes | 4c | 2,243$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 7c | 2,195$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 4c | 2,192$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…af9bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,012$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…699fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,738$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…70febacked Yes | 2c | 1,590$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…030bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,486$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 3c | 1,485$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,402$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,279$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 3c | 1,255$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…bbcdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,218$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…1694backed Yes | 9c | 1,164$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 3c | 1,090$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…e27ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,080$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…7621backed Yes | 2c | 1,029$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5612…a55bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…0fe4backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…0449backed Yes | 2c | 968.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 2c | 966.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc113…692fbacked Yes | 2c | 955.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed Yes | 2c | 921.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1062…e919backed Yes | 3c | 911.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 2c | 799.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 2c | 626.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…bce0backed Yes | 2c | 523.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…5762backed Yes | 8c | 514.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…1749backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…3091backed Yes | 7c | 423.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 6c | 367.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 6c | 340$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…768fbacked Yes | 3c | 340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…6854backed Yes | 3c | 319.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 7c | 274.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b4…789ebacked Yes | 10c | 200.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a4…41c1backed Yes | 6c | 181.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e7…31a8backed Yes | 7c | 144.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?this page
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Hungary?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?Yes won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.