Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32108f7d15d38af3b3aa3b4c5e978f035ec0fdb38867d5d939dfef777161cc11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Yes | 1c | 18,260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.24 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…47efbacked Yes | 0c | 9,214$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 8,944$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,052$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 1c | 6,762$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 4,880$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…0449backed Yes | 0c | 4,291$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 7c | 3,428$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +2,714.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…d33cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 14cpaid | +203.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 7c | 2,856$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 7c | 2,856$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 1c | 2,734$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,964$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 1c | 1,871$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…b06fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,354$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f7…76fcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,280$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 2c | 1,230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c4…33b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,129$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,064$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…b700backed Yes | 6c | 1,037$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc107…9039backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 917.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bd…648bbacked Yes | 1c | 850.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 59c | 850$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed Yes | 1c | 802.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…022cbacked Yes | 4c | 780.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 2c | 713.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…5ee2backed Yes | 2c | 685$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…af9bbacked Yes | 2c | 650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 3c | 505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf172…5688backed No | 40c | 245$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a84…ace7backed Yes | 26c | 242.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 213.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…74f9backed Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…68b6backed Yes | 68c | 93.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d1fdbacked Yes | 65c | 76.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 74c | 41.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4618…a8c5backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…c5a7backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…f309backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?this page
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Hungary?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?Yes won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.