Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b6553b86f5831bd03faf7571faef051c6587ecc0e0200c5f824d3c50c311075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 4c | 16,542$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.25 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 11,302$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.02 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,921$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 6c | 7,238$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.74 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,970$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,905$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 3c | 3,230$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4783…8d82backed Yes | 0c | 2,499$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed Yes | 2c | 2,164$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 1c | 1,959$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…0449backed Yes | 2c | 1,949$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1db…c30fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,625$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 2c | 1,620$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed Yes | 3c | 1,581$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 1,576$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 1c | 1,562$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 3c | 1,361$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…f940backed Yes | 8c | 1,340$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,281$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 3c | 1,129$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Yes | 3c | 1,095$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…f309backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…5ee2backed Yes | 5c | 982$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 6c | 955$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 911$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…a057backed Yes | 6c | 900.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…b919backed Yes | 2c | 883.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…8931backed Yes | 2c | 854.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 792.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca5…6785backed Yes | 2c | 700.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…61edbacked Yes | 2c | 619.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…208fbacked Yes | 2c | 547.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…f8c7backed Yes | 5c | 512.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 4c | 505$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 5c | 444$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca6…3c0abacked Yes | 5c | 420.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…a927backed Yes | 5c | 418.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ff…4d3dbacked Yes | 5c | 373.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 5c | 349.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…74f9backed Yes | 3c | 334.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…4883backed Yes | 8c | 264.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…80acbacked Yes | 7c | 232.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 5c | 219.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 11c | 198.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f25…cf87backed Yes | 5c | 188$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…08a5backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?this page
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Hungary?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?Yes won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.