Movies · resolved market
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8565ae802dc237a7f68bbde98310fec76177b76d73b8e4f800756d461bb49e99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 72c | 23,616$17,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,598.13 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 35c | 17,046$6,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,036.69 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 72c | 12,801$9,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.65 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 26c | 8,767$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.66 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 27c | 7,971$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.61 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed No | 6c | 6,521$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.17 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 8c | 5,567$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.79 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 37c | 4,475$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 24c | 4,085$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.87 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 48c | 4,024$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.8 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 49c | 3,446$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.61 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 31c | 3,101$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.09 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 71c | 3,069$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.4 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,553$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.61 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 26c | 2,349$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.16 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 13c | 2,018$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed No | 37c | 1,825$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.63 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 58c | 1,758$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.71 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 13c | 1,641$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.27 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked No | 17c | 1,337$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 25c | 997$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…c521backed Yes | 75c | 997$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 61c | 966.43$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 75c | 945.58$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 58c | 915.97$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.45 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 41c | 800$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 31c | 729$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.02 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 24c | 707.53$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 55c | 633$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 15c | 611.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 56c | 600$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 63c | 552.86$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.06 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 37c | 543$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 493.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…7fa8backed Yes | 56c | 458.71$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 36c | 432.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 430.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 70c | 420.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…309abacked Yes | 63c | 420.03$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 39c | 414.18$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.55 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…300abacked No | 24c | 402.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 30c | 390.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 23c | 371.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 49c | 365.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 74c | 363.55$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 31c | 360.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 27c | 343.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 67c | 339.73$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 68c | 317.92$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 77c | 315.9$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Yes | 64c | 310.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 31c | 284.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…50acbacked No | 24c | 269.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 43c | 254.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed No | 44c | 246.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 38c | 239.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 230.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 13c | 215$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 69c | 209.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 32c | 205$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 69c | 202.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 36c | 193.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…5b46backed No | 8c | 192.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed Yes | 57c | 191.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…e223backed No | 25c | 187.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 26c | 186.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed No | 28c | 181.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 55c | 172$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 30c | 169.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 9c | 165$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…5af0backed No | 18c | 158$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…ad9ebacked No | 13c | 143.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 27c | 136.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…081bbacked Yes | 65c | 133.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed No | 27c | 130.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 68c | 126.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…8f96backed Yes | 60c | 125.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8a…9bf9backed No | 57c | 104.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…0b8dbacked Yes | 53c | 104.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 96.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked No | 26c | 91.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed No | 12c | 90.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 64c | 84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 24c | 83.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…c267backed Yes | 61c | 81.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 58c | 77.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 25c | 77.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 41c | 76.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…ddb3backed Yes | 73c | 72.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?this page
- Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 44m?No won
- Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?No won
- Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.