Middle East · resolved market
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f0c865380f678336c390ddc4fe63bd14b77852d8b84845b315715c73a41bd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,308,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,411,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,308,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4685…4de3backed No | 0c | 4,910,846$10,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,517.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…5157backed No | 0c | 824,844$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d26…7bbabacked No | 0c | 541,864$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…76fbbacked No | 4c | 384,488$15,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,896.31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb2…db4ebacked No | 0c | 346,000$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -72%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked No | 0c | 296,753$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…f43dbacked No | 0c | 284,996$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 0c | 259,171$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.18 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked No | 0c | 249,415$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…daccbacked No | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…fd57backed No | 0c | 175,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…6ed8backed No | 0c | 114,398$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c01…aa10backed No | 0c | 105,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…2642backed No | 0c | 95,250$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 0c | 88,427$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…4431backed No | 0c | 82,092$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…e932backed No | 0c | 72,891$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 0c | 67,064$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabaf…66e2backed No | 0c | 66,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10c…c7a7backed No | 0c | 57,650$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed No | 0c | 56,721$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d88…ba3dbacked No | 0c | 55,085$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf246…de5dbacked No | 0c | 54,525$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…3523backed No | 0c | 51,667$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…156bbacked No | 1c | 50,220$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9613…7528backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…f72dbacked No | 0c | 49,900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…dcd3backed No | 0c | 45,280$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…4fb9backed No | 0c | 45,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…4accbacked No | 0c | 39,400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7887…87aabacked No | 0c | 35,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1808…fc98backed No | 0c | 34,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdf…0023backed No | 0c | 33,420$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…4f87backed No | 0c | 31,710$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ff…bbd1backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…08fdbacked No | 0c | 25,570$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…6eb9backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…289dbacked No | 0c | 24,798$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…598bbacked No | 0c | 24,485$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0c…6138backed No | 0c | 23,895$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…f9adbacked No | 0c | 22,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked No | 1c | 20,294$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…1293backed No | 0c | 20,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 19c | 19,750$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,065.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…bb1bbacked No | 0c | 18,955$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…dfb8backed No | 0c | 18,100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…516abacked No | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…17e6backed No | 0c | 17,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c7…69bdbacked No | 0c | 17,496$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 10c | 17,006$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,375.05 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…97debacked No | 0c | 17,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…2ab2backed No | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…7c96backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbb…35d8backed No | 0c | 14,840$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…8a27backed No | 4c | 14,752$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…662ebacked No | 6c | 14,716$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.95 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked No | 0c | 14,297$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf777…3cdebacked No | 0c | 13,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…1cefbacked No | 0c | 13,275$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cca…731dbacked No | 0c | 12,591$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…4cd8backed No | 0c | 12,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0069…f357backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…a854backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…376ebacked No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf14a…fd29backed No | 0c | 11,857$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262e…5ef0backed No | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d61…2a08backed No | 0c | 10,995$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…846abacked No | 0c | 10,580$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9093…2ecbbacked No | 0c | 10,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed No | 0c | 10,008$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…ee29backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…ca54backed No | 1c | 10,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8de…2bf8backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…6d95backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…729bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f7…aa48backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 24c | 9,997$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,602.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…b4d9backed No | 0c | 9,950$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 3c | 9,901$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…14ebbacked No | 0c | 9,255$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed No | 0c | 9,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…08f4backed No | 0c | 8,683$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73fa…1ba2backed No | 1c | 8,388$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…7607backed No | 0c | 8,050$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed No | 4c | 8,050$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.93 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 2c | 8,031$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…a726backed No | 0c | 8,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 62c | 7,874$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.15 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…727ebacked No | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…ee5cbacked No | 0c | 7,394$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80e…e961backed No | 0c | 7,010$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…dc05backed No | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…0e95backed No | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 67c | 7,000$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…b063backed No | 0c | 6,833$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…92abbacked No | 6c | 6,704$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.