TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kiwoom DRXof Gen.G, Kiwoom DRX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea79…a9ccbacked Gen.G78c12,765$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0005261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Kiwoom DRX22c12,143$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,471.3315153.6%81 W · 70 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Kiwoom DRX22c10,033$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,825.6737647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kiwoom DRX14c7,295$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,276.562,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Kiwoom DRX9c3,786$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.641,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Kiwoom DRX22c3,218$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.951,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed Kiwoom DRX24c3,042$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.192638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked Gen.G78c2,421$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90028965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Kiwoom DRX19c2,160$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.4912934.9%45 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Gen.G77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54021154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Kiwoom DRX23c1,451$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1177042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked Kiwoom DRX26c1,450$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0732540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Kiwoom DRX23c1,304$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.3522757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Kiwoom DRX21c1,200$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.471,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Gen.G75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Gen.G77c999.99$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9947455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Kiwoom DRX21c999.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.991,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Kiwoom DRX20c888$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.41,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6799…9cc2backed Kiwoom DRX23c800$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Kiwoom DRX23c789.09$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.654529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8073…b919backed Gen.G78c769.23$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001675%12 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Gen.G46c712.59$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.091,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Gen.G78c644.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Kiwoom DRX23c600$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4622441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Kiwoom DRX21c599.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.992,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21df…7078backed Kiwoom DRX23c591.3$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.31060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Kiwoom DRX18c543.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.473056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Gen.G75c540$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Gen.G78c520$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.621759%128 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Gen.G78c512.82$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019055.3%105 W · 85 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Gen.G79c508.86$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013658.8%80 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Gen.G78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39085746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Gen.G79c494.47$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6326360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Kiwoom DRX23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7816346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Kiwoom DRX12c418.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.586142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked Gen.G74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29612462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Kiwoom DRX21c400$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0121622.7%49 W · 167 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Kiwoom DRX8c375$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3453951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8822…2cf8backed Gen.G77c374.96$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Gen.G78c319.55$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2549461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed Gen.G78c310$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.821256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Kiwoom DRX22c304.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5516344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Gen.G78c300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Kiwoom DRX20c289.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.361,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Kiwoom DRX22c266.38$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0910239.2%40 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Gen.G78c262.82$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051,25154.1%677 W · 574 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Gen.G78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Gen.G78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011753%62 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Gen.G76c251.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.161,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Kiwoom DRX19c239.74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1932234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Gen.G78c237.18$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18518752.4%98 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd98…6178backed Kiwoom DRX22c236.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.72737%10 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9792…f790backed Kiwoom DRX15c203.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.022045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb72…6c45backed Gen.G79c201.25$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.997451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Gen.G77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15467763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Gen.G78c192.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011851.7%61 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8290…d896backed Gen.G78c192.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Gen.G78c191.03$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14916253.7%87 W · 75 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Kiwoom DRX22c180$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.476028.9%220 W · 540 L-0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Gen.G77c168.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.566750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Kiwoom DRX16c161.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3235054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Kiwoom DRX23c150.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8332142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Gen.G77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018161.3%111 W · 70 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f1…7eeabacked Gen.G77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012057.5%69 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…6a5ebacked Gen.G78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020573.7%151 W · 54 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Kiwoom DRX23c126.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0946846.8%219 W · 249 L-23.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34c5…7e4fbacked Gen.G79c125.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Gen.G77c122.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.515759.2%93 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f3…883cbacked Gen.G79c113.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905046%23 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Kiwoom DRX12c110.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.665046%23 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+76%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Kiwoom DRX23c110$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.71,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked Gen.G78c107.69$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8416654.2%90 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8651…ed65backed Gen.G79c102.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816663.6%42 W · 24 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Gen.G78c100.66$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.511,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Kiwoom DRX23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7731650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Kiwoom DRX21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7958437.2%217 W · 367 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db9…d97cbacked Gen.G79c97.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.116342.9%70 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc7…3778backed Gen.G78c92.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Gen.G78c88.46$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6925154.2%136 W · 115 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2547…8b5cbacked Gen.G78c87.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Kiwoom DRX22c83.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.328053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2387…2a96backed Kiwoom DRX24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3311631%36 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Gen.G78c76.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018555.1%102 W · 83 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Kiwoom DRX23c74.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3522747.6%108 W · 119 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Gen.G78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Gen.G79c55.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4468253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a41…c739backed Gen.G78c51.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Gen.G79c50.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.749160.4%55 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Gen.G77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.528655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Gen.G77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.516647%78 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Gen.G79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.516251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0715…f2f3backed Gen.G77c45.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Gen.G78c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.220045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Gen.G77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Gen.G78c38.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3836460.2%219 W · 145 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d46…7f85backed Gen.G78c37.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8a…8547backed Gen.G80c35.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.461764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c2…5bc1backed Gen.G77c32.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x530c…529fbacked Gen.G78c32.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Gen.G76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.857655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.