Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f65e8e2f91274fdc1cd92b00a12b8b229279870ea48c85c7f8080d4a96891d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ae…9923backed Under | 16c | 3,040$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 19c | 2,800$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 10c | 1,912$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.77 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Over | 22c | 1,657$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.22 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 78c | 1,175$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.32 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 21c | 977.18$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.97 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Over | 25c | 924.58$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.44 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 622.94$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 22c | 568.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.17 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 77c | 550$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.5 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 59c | 477$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.81 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 40c | 455.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.62 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 20c | 347.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.75 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 20c | 317.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.21 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 78c | 285.9$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 139 | 71.2%99 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 22c | 278$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…440abacked Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.49 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 22c | 203.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 46c | 192.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…3940backed Under | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Under | 36c | 141.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 78c | 129.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 21c | 110$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Over | 28c | 96.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…673ebacked Over | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 20c | 73.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 58c | 60.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 70c | 58.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 66c | 49.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814b…2fa1backed Under | 79c | 45.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…69a9backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 259 | 60.2%156 W · 103 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 59c | 29.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,923 | 35.9%690 W · 1,233 L | -98.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf55…1d21backed Over | 49c | 20.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…31e3backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…f8a1backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…5d6cbacked Under | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…44b6backed Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.