World Politics · resolved market
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a1603ecc4b4cef92fb1db8ca6006042c8538c31de7ca8536f6e0d60d9391962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 18c | 3,204$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.79 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 16c | 2,369$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.03 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 24c | 2,242$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 18c | 2,204$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…1d4abacked Yes | 79c | 2,110$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 18c | 1,586$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.92 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,391$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 21c | 1,261$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.96 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 18c | 1,252$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.36 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 18c | 1,220$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.44 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…8a76backed No | 16c | 1,144$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.51 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 20c | 1,111$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 20c | 686.38$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…fb04backed Yes | 78c | 615.38$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked No | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…c85fbacked No | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 15c | 585.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 76c | 500$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…cf2dbacked Yes | 75c | 430.25$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 25c | 401.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 19c | 389.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked No | 20c | 350.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 17c | 349.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 61c | 303.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 70c | 281.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6730…d8e3backed Yes | 80c | 250.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 239.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 79c | 236.38$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 27c | 230$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 32c | 219.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…40b0backed Yes | 80c | 203.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…adf5backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…f819backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fe…f3bcbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 73c | 189.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 21c | 140.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Yes | 72c | 138.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 136.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 59c | 133.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…f1f1backed Yes | 76c | 131.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…020cbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…8150backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…18d1backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…6ec6backed Yes | 65c | 122.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 17c | 120.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -11.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…81ddbacked No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 23c | 116.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…016dbacked No | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…6b6abacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…2b70backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 27c | 99.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe014…478cbacked No | 17c | 89.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 30c | 82.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 70c | 72.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed No | 18c | 70.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed No | 19c | 66.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 21c | 52.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 51c | 52.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…869abacked Yes | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…6b64backed Yes | 73c | 43.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…d98ebacked No | 35c | 42.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…000cbacked Yes | 67c | 38.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…0b16backed Yes | 74c | 33.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…4c04backed Yes | 80c | 32.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…e79abacked Yes | 80c | 32.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…9ff4backed Yes | 79c | 31.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe7…f462backed Yes | 68c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…17f9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…d69cbacked Yes | 78c | 22.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe5…72dabacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…13b4backed Yes | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cb…3a05backed Yes | 80c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…7a1ebacked Yes | 80c | 15.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?this page
- Will Evelyn Matthei and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara and Evelyn Matthei advance to the runoff?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?No won
- Will José Antonio Kast and Evelyn Matthei advance to the runoff?No won
- Will José Antonio Kast and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?No won
- Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.