Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea7420e2bdb8ba80c7626edf4576fc802d499535680706c5d49c0e502835349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa66b…0b8bbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…2a06backed Yes | 56c | 1,232$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…8da0backed Yes | 68c | 1,099$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…5babbacked Yes | 78c | 1,029$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 30c | 1,009$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.09 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c0b5backed No | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 59c | 846.99$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked No | 61c | 822.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 39c | 811.71$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.38 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 46c | 799.95$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.98 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 25c | 669.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed No | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 47c | 650.92$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.7 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 61c | 532$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 473.4$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Yes | 71c | 459.55$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 52c | 445.83$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcc…ae59backed Yes | 63c | 412$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 38c | 388.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.42 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8712…e142backed Yes | 70c | 386.83$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…c475backed Yes | 78c | 374$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed No | 40c | 344.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 53c | 315.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 65c | 313.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2fa6backed No | 44c | 311.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 25c | 302.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 53c | 287.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 65c | 267.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.69 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…810ebacked Yes | 61c | 247.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…1fd0backed Yes | 43c | 236.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 60c | 232.1$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…daa7backed Yes | 49c | 228.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 25c | 221.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…b3aabacked Yes | 53c | 217.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…6fb6backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 33c | 196$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Yes | 49c | 193.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 46c | 191.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed No | 37c | 190.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 34c | 188.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Yes | 54c | 185.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 54c | 180.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…4705backed Yes | 70c | 178.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…9236backed Yes | 66c | 170$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…0405backed Yes | 58c | 169.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 45c | 164$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…b693backed No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 61c | 149.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 38c | 148.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 59c | 144.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed No | 72c | 144.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…d23cbacked Yes | 70c | 143.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Yes | 36c | 138.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…786dbacked Yes | 78c | 134$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed No | 13c | 132.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…19d2backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 46c | 130.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Yes | 54c | 122.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 40c | 120.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…9fa9backed Yes | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 56c | 118$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 25c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…4ffcbacked No | 38c | 104.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 36c | 104.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb1…01a4backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c940backed No | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Yes | 49c | 102.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…5707backed No | 41c | 102.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…4b34backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…3ef3backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…9239backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…b92bbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…08b0backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 22c | 99.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6958…276dbacked No | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…6b3abacked Yes | 39c | 93.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ef…4f3cbacked No | 46c | 92.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…1920backed Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 33c | 88.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 67c | 87.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…146dbacked Yes | 46c | 81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 31c | 79.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed5…5c2abacked No | 38c | 78.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 37c | 77.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…fb0ebacked Yes | 67c | 74.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed No | 59c | 71.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2898…d183backed Yes | 79c | 71.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 68c | 69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 24c | 68.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?this page
- Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Mail-in" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Steal", "Stealing", "Stole", or "Stolen" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.