Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaaa94b42c2e73fc036cacabd366ee7fc85a036be9e565a1eb705ce7d6be05db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 9cpaid | +197.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…bac1backed Yes | 10c | 4,790$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 17c | 4,588$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.43 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 11c | 3,105$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.05 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…5cc6backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…2b5fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,288$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 65c | 2,228$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.89 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 8c | 1,818$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.35 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 13c | 1,676$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.21 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed No | 39c | 1,649$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.72 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 29c | 1,573$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.51 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…83d6backed No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…fe32backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…b20ebacked No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 28cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…d370backed Yes | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…cb1cbacked No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…cb73backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked No | 17c | 1,413$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abf…1b97backed Yes | 76c | 1,320$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked No | 24c | 1,299$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.77 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 64c | 1,264$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.8 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…29febacked Yes | 72c | 1,200$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed No | 25c | 1,150$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 25c | 1,138$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.3 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2fa6backed No | 17c | 1,094$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.76 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 9c | 1,055$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.18 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked Yes | 21c | 952$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…619cbacked Yes | 73c | 833.32$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…2c64backed Yes | 65c | 771.27$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…64a4backed Yes | 67c | 746.47$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…b92bbacked Yes | 76c | 724.88$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 15c | 717.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.92 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…1621backed No | 33c | 664.17$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…d522backed Yes | 77c | 651.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…7657backed No | 31c | 650.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 9c | 633.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.62 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 14c | 621.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.12 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…0eddbacked No | 18c | 610.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…f091backed Yes | 35c | 609.58$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 23c | 609.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.16 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked No | 14c | 599.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.13 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe464…25ecbacked No | 18c | 566.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +200.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 26c | 543.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.34 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…a749backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed No | 36c | 513.55$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.73 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked No | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 69c | 491.31$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.23 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…88d4backed No | 36c | 482.77$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x007d…f56abacked No | 10c | 480.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +584.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 18c | 450.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.29 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 78c | 443$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.89 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 429.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…3a02backed No | 6c | 412.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49cb…8c3abacked No | 31c | 383.7$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 74c | 362.89$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…833abacked Yes | 4c | 359.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…8abebacked Yes | 36c | 335$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25f…87c0backed No | 30c | 332.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5888…b179backed Yes | 10c | 308.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 10c | 306.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e03…9212backed Yes | 67c | 298.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…879cbacked Yes | 58c | 297$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…2a06backed No | 45c | 285.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 70c | 283.79$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed No | 17c | 250.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.94 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…7cf1backed Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed No | 35c | 244.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed Yes | 21c | 242.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +308.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…40c1backed Yes | 80c | 230.22$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c41…9b79backed No | 21c | 229.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 79c | 219.75$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed No | 15c | 217.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…695bbacked No | 24c | 210.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ff…7f9cbacked No | 23c | 210.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 19c | 208.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.51 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 67c | 207.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…62cabacked Yes | 75c | 201.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…368dbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…8b53backed Yes | 67c | 200$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b4…acc7backed Yes | 80c | 198.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed No | 21c | 197$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 73c | 196.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…0388backed Yes | 77c | 192.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…64e2backed Yes | 64c | 187$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 54c | 180$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed Yes | 62c | 176.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…489fbacked Yes | 80c | 174.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…cd17backed Yes | 73c | 172.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 25c | 154.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 27c | 154.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…b390backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?this page
- Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Mail-in" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Steal", "Stealing", "Stole", or "Stolen" in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?No won
- Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?Yes won
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.