Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FOX (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92da3ac96aaa9d9e454f382d212c35780a42f5dd4720a807bd8bd8a35d7e9610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HANJIN BRIONof BNK FEARX, HANJIN BRION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed BNK FEARX | 55c | 2,396$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed HANJIN BRION | 45c | 2,396$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 2,223$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked HANJIN BRION | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…46d0backed BNK FEARX | 64c | 999.43$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed HANJIN BRION | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…2dffbacked HANJIN BRION | 35c | 499.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.63 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HANJIN BRION | 41c | 473.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed HANJIN BRION | 36c | 445.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.74 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed HANJIN BRION | 38c | 223.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed HANJIN BRION | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 175.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HANJIN BRION | 39c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked BNK FEARX | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FOX (-1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)BNK FEARX won
- LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerOKSavingsBank BRION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.