Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3aafe47e45d8e621af28b3f5c3cfa2c30f411ede2f987de5970c71e755d52cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Over | 50c | 4,559$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Under | 50c | 4,559$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 33c | 468.63$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Under | 53c | 375.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 49c | 221.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 58c | 167.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 47c | 127.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 49c | 116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 46c | 95.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 48c | 78.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 51c | 78.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Over | 52c | 48.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 69c | 38.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 51c | 24.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c0…a6d6backed Over | 55c | 23.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 22.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DRX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)DN Freecs won
- LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageDN Freecs won
- LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerDN Freecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.